First Chinese 1.5° C Pathway Analysis and Risk Assessment

2018-05-30

As part of ongoing efforts to help achieve the Paris Climate Agreement's aspirational goal to limit the global temperature increase to 1.5° Celsius above pre-industrial levels, the China Coal Cap Research Project coordinated China's first-ever research into 1.5° C scenarios and energy pathways. On May 30, the Coal Cap Research Project convened the "1.5° C Scenario and Climate Change Risk Workshop," launching two policy recommendation research reports. Jiang Kejun's report, "China's Path Forward Under a Global 1.5 Degree Temperature Target: Energy Emission Scenario Analysis" explored 1.5° C compatible energy development technology pathways, concluding that a 1.5° C target was achievable, but only if China takes rapid action to ensure that energy sector CO2 emissions peak between 2015-2020 with a steady decrease in emissions after 2020. Teng Fei's report, "Assessing Climate Risk and the Social Cost of Carbon Emissions" calculated the impacts of climate change under a 1.5° C scenario. The workshop and report launch was attended by representatives from relevant government ministries, and by industry, academic, and NGO experts. 

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